Prediction Markets > Basics

Book recommendations


Please post some book recommendations here for people who are interested to learn more about prediction markets.


The obvious thing would be to familiarize yourself with everything Robin Hanson, the pseudo-inventor of prediction markets:

Lots of his stuff is online for free. Some of it I collated here:

Hanson's blog, OvercomingBias, is top-shelf, as is LessWrong:

As for books, I think that the more important thing to do is familiarize yourself with the human brain, and how hopelessly defective it is (thus motivating the need for immediate help from reliable teammates).

Good books would be: Blank Slate by Pinker, Black Swan / Fooled By Randomness by Taleb, Thinking Fast and Slow by Kahneman.

I haven't read this book, but only because I'm virtually certain that I already know everything in it. My educated guess from the table of contents is that it is all very useful and reliable information:

Hopefully that helps.

Thank you Paul


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